Matthieu Pavon became the first Frenchman to win on the PGA Tour since it was established in 1929 when he won the Farmers Insurance Open last year, and he will try to defend his title this year. Pavon was playing in his 11th PGA Tour event and won by one shot at Torrey Pines in San Diego, sealing the victory with a birdie on the final hole. He is a 120-1 longshot to repeat according to the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open odds. Ludvig Åberg and Hideki Matsuyama are 10-1 co-favorites atop the PGA odds board, followed by Tony Finau (20-1) and Sungjae Im (20-1). The first-round tee times begin at 11:50 a.m. ET on Wednesday.
Jason Day, who won this event in 2015 and 2018, is 28-1 to finish on top of the leaderboard. Day is listed at +400 (risk $100 to win $400) to finish inside the top five and +210 to finish inside the top 10. Should you include Day in your 2025 Farmers Insurance Open bets? Before making any 2025 Farmers Insurance Open picks, you need to see the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald.
McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in 2022 after stops at NBC Sports and RyderCup.com. Covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis between the PGA Tour, DP World Tour and more. Featured weekly on the Early Wedge, he gave out numerous winners in 2024, including Jake Knapp (50-1) at the Mexico Open and Xander Schauffele (20-1) at the PGA Championship. He already nailed Sepp Straka as a 66-1 longshot in The American Express last week. Anyone who followed his betting picks could have been way up on betting apps and sportsbooks.
Now, McDonald has focused his attention on the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open field and locked in his best bets and top longshot sleepers. You can only see them here.
Top 2025 Farmers Insurance Open expert picks
We can tell you that McDonald loves the value of Keegan Bradley at +2200 (risk $100 to win $2,200). The American has been a mainstay in this event in recent years and has posted three top-five finishes since 2017, including a runner-up showing in 2023. Bradley is off to a strong start this season, contending at the Sony Open before playing well at The Sentry in back-to-back weeks.
He had a week off last week to focus on an event where he has been successful in previous years, making this a perfect opportunity for him to pick up his first win of the season. Bradley has gained more than 12 strokes on the field at this tournament since 2019, and his elite long iron play makes him an ideal fit for this course. McDonald thinks Bradley can break through for his first win of the season, creating value as a longshot.
2025 Farmers Insurance Open picks, field, odds, predictions: Golf expert likes Keegan Bradley at Torrey Pines
