Jason Day has racked up 13 career victories on the PGA Tour, which includes finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Farmers Insurance Open in 2015 and 2018. Day will be part of a loaded 2025 Farmers Insurance Open field and will enter this week’s event full of confidence after recording a T-3 finish at The American Express. Day has finished T-7 or better in two of his last four starts at the Farmers Insurance Open, while missing the cut altogether on the other two occasions. The 2025 Farmers Insurance Open is set to get underway from Torrey Pines Golf Course on Wednesday, Jan. 22. The Farmers Insurance Open first-round tee times begin on Wednesday at 11:50 a.m. ET. Will Zalatoris withdrew from the Farmers Insurance Open field ahead of round one.
Day is listed as a 28-1 longshot (risk $100 to win $2,800) according to the latest 2025 Farmers Insurance Open odds. Hideki Matsuyama and Ludvig Aberg are going off as the 10-1 co-favorites on the PGA odds board, followed by Tony Finau (20-1), Sungjae Im (20-1) and Keegan Bradley (22-1). Day is going off at +130 (risk $100 to win $130) to finish inside the top 20, while Bradley is +260 to finish inside the top 10. Before locking in your 2025 Farmers Insurance Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.
Now that the 2025 Farmers Insurance field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2025 Farmers Insurance Open predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open: Ludvig Aberg, the No. 6 ranked player in the world and one of the co-favorites, fails to finish on top of the leaderboard. Aberg is coming off an impressive T-5 finish at The Sentry earlier this month, but he’s set to make just his second start at Torrey Pines this week.
In addition, the 25-year-old enters this week’s event ranked 172nd in driving accuracy (51.67%) and 192nd in total driving (321). Aberg was also inconsistent with his irons last season, ranking 73rd in greens in regulation percentage (68.15%), which doesn’t bode well at a course like Torrey Pines. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open field. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: Max Greyserman, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
Greyserman is coming off a T-7 showing at The American Express and has all the tools needed to be in the mix again this week at Torrey Pines. The 29-year-old currently ranks ninth in birdie average (6.25), 11th in putting average (1.632) and 13th in greens in regulation percentage (81.25%). He also ranks ninth in strokes gained: total (1.770) and 13th in strokes gained: approach to green (1.110). Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make him a strong value pick for your 2025 Farmers Insurance Open bets. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2025 Farmers Insurance Open picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors in 2024.
2025 Farmers Insurance Open odds, favorites
Get full 2025 Farmers Insurance Open picks, best bets and predictions here.
2025 Farmers Insurance Open picks, odds, field: Surprising predictions from golf model that’s called 13 majors
